Arrogance Meet Reality

7 Jul

“I am confident I will get her votes if I’m the nominee,” Obama stressed. “It’s not clear she would get the votes I got if she were the nominee.” – Barack Obama in Feb 2008

A new poll shows Clinton supporters are still not embracing Obama.  In fact, not only is Obama failing to gain Hillary’s supporters, his overall support from registered Democrats has dropped from 59% to 54%, according to CNN:

A growing number of Clinton supporters polled say they may stay home in November instead of casting their ballot for Obama, an indication the party has yet to coalesce around the Illinois senator four weeks after the most prolonged and at times divisive primary race in modern American history came to a close.

According to a CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll released Friday, the number of Clinton supporters who plan to defect to Republican Sen. John McCain’s camp is down from one month ago, but — in what could be an ominous sign for Obama as he seeks to unify the party — the number of them who say they plan to vote for Obama is also down, and a growing number say they may not vote at all.

In a CNN/Opinion Research Corp. survey completed in early June before the New York senator ended her White House bid, 60 percent of Clinton backers polled said they planned on voting for Obama. In the latest poll, that number has dropped to 54 percent.

The news continues to gets worse for Obama, according to CNN:

In another sign the wounds of the heated primary race have yet to heal, 43 percent of registered Democrats polled still say they would prefer Clinton to be the party’s presidential nominee.

That number is significantly higher than it was in early June, when 35 percent of Democrats polled said they preferred Clinton to lead the party’s presidential ticket.

Obama loses dem support while Hillary- who suspended her campaign last month- gains more support. My, my, isn’t that interesting!?  

We have time before the dem convention in August. Obama could pick up support before then, but I think it more likely he’ll continue to lose it.

His recent policy flip-flops on issues like: FISA, the Iraq war, NAFTA, campaign financing, along with his courtship of evangelicals and an interest in expanding Bush’s faith initiative policies, are not making him many friends. If this trend continues, he may not have enough support to gain the votes he needs to become the nominee. 

It’s not a done deal until the dems vote officially at the convention. That’s when one winner will emerge. With Hillary’s name on the ballot at the convention, it would be easy for dems to vote for her instead of Obama. She could still emerge the nominee.

It’s not just a silly hope, it’s a real possibility.  

Go PUMA.

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